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Is Ohtani worth $700M Over 10 Years?

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
47,132
ESPN tried to do some math and guesstimate his true value over that period. Its detailed analysis and assumes a lot but I think it might just be conservative and Ohtani could be worth more.

ESPN looked at Ohtani as a DH, starting pitcher, relief pitcher, closer, and righ fielder over his 10 year career. It assumed he would transition from one postion to possibly others as his skills progressed up/down. They then estimated his "Wins above replacement value" for each year and added up the total value to determine his value over the 10 years.

It comes out to about $570M but that is likely underestimated because he deferred so much of his salary (i.e. it makes him worth more now since the dollars they pay on him later will be worth less). So the value could climb to $650M or more.

This also does not account for the tens of millions or more he will generate in revenue beyond his on-field production, for himself, for the Dodgers and for the game itself.


Here's a link to the full article.
 

sharpsquare

sharpsquare

Joined
Nov 26, 2021
Messages
2,839
He is worth every dollar of that. Then he was willing to defer almost the whole contract so the Dodgers could have the payroll flexibility they needed to add on and build up a more competitive team.

From a financial standpoint, he is a money machine for both himself and the dodger franchise. Not to mention one of the best if not the best players in the game today. None of that comes cheap.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,052
baseball players get hurt a lot as they age

These never pay off as far as wins

He might be responsible for hundreds of millions in overseas sales though (or something like that, lol).

I didn't click Tanko's link but I'm sure they addressed that part of his value.

He is huge in Japan and now his pay is more than some Japanese teams' entire payroll (or something like that, lol).
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,052
So can we assume Jeter in his prime was worth half of Ohtani? :ROFLMAO:

I was thinking about his.

If they were hot dogs, then yeah.

But I get the feeling my little inflation calculation is missing some dollar to value metrics specific to MLB, further worldwide growth, etc.

It might be better for us to say that MLB has inflated much faster, though we can't say just how much, than everything else.

Which is a true statement towards all major sports anyway.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,052
It might be better for us to say that MLB has inflated much faster, though we can't say just how much, than everything else.

Maybe instead of $189 million being $331 million today spoecifically for an mlb player it's much higher.

I just know that exact numbers but we could throw MLB's relative growth into the formula for sure.
 
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