I'm wondering if Arizona will lose to Dayton.
The tempo of these two teams cannot be any different.
Dayton 64 possessions/gm
Arizona 72 possessions/gm
It doesn't always happen but when a very fast team (Ariz) faces a very slow team (Dayton), the faster team is at higher risk of losing in the tournament. I think its like ~60% for the slow team straight up when the tempo difference is high (8 or more).