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Is any 1 or 2 seed going to lose today?

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
46,505
I'm wondering if Arizona will lose to Dayton.
The tempo of these two teams cannot be any different.

Dayton 64 possessions/gm
Arizona 72 possessions/gm

It doesn't always happen but when a very fast team (Ariz) faces a very slow team (Dayton), the faster team is at higher risk of losing in the tournament. I think its like ~60% for the slow team straight up when the tempo difference is high (8 or more).
 

billythegoat

billythegoat

Joined
Mar 16, 2023
Messages
795
I'm wondering if Arizona will lose to Dayton.
The tempo of these two teams cannot be any different.

Dayton 64 possessions/gm
Arizona 72 possessions/gm

It doesn't always happen but when a very fast team (Ariz) faces a very slow team (Dayton), the faster team is at higher risk of losing in the tournament. I think its like ~60% for the slow team straight up when the tempo difference is high (8 or more).

Could see this too, some teams can play both tempos (like my Huskies). Those that struggle this time of year to do so often go down. Would personally love to see the Flyers move on
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
46,505
Could see this too, some teams can play both tempos (like my Huskies). Those that struggle this time of year to do so often go down. Would personally love to see the Flyers move on
Huskies as in UConn?
They looked really good yesterday. I mean dayam good.

Sure it was only Stetson but it was a perfect warm up game for them to go against Northwestern tomorrow.
 

billythegoat

billythegoat

Joined
Mar 16, 2023
Messages
795
Huskies as in UConn?
They looked really good yesterday. I mean dayam good.

Sure it was only Stetson but it was a perfect warm up game for them to go against Northwestern tomorrow.

Yep, UConn. Suppose I should’ve specified lol… Agreed, Northwestern definitely more of a challenge but we should win. And now Auburn’s out of the way. Potential champ game rematch with the Aztecs before the real test against Illinois or Iowa State.
 

billythegoat

billythegoat

Joined
Mar 16, 2023
Messages
795
I'm wondering if Arizona will lose to Dayton.
The tempo of these two teams cannot be any different.

Dayton 64 possessions/gm
Arizona 72 possessions/gm

It doesn't always happen but when a very fast team (Ariz) faces a very slow team (Dayton), the faster team is at higher risk of losing in the tournament. I think its like ~60% for the slow team straight up when the tempo difference is high (8 or more).

The one team to beat Arizona twice this year was Washington St, 313th in tempo.

The slowest they saw this season was UCLA who they swept, but their offense is not nearly as prolific as Dayton’s.
 
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