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Iowa -6’ over UCLA

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broncos

broncos

Joined
May 20, 2023
Messages
1,838
I like Iowa too. Sullivan & Johnson gives Iowa a very good chance of winning and covering. Iowa's defense should give UCLA a hard time running the ball. Garbers got almost as many INTs as TDs. Go Hawkeyes.
 

quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
3,668
Seems too easy to me tonight.

Iowa should roll in this one.

Of course I’m on a horrible streak lately - what am I missing here ?
Seems like an overreaction to their 2 most recent games. While UCLA may have a rejuvenated offense like Franz555 says, Rutgers isn't all that good and Nebraska was coming off a crippling loss to Ohio State where they had a chance to win the game.

Iowa has a top-20 defense and that should make a difference here.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,475
I liked Iowa at 1st glance as well. Looking at UCLA and a rejuvenated offense , the Over 44.5 screamed at me.

BOL on the play
THIS!

I will say I'm on Iowa as well but, have some concern.

UCLA has changed their approach the last couple weeks. I'm not sure if its a fluke or an actual improvement. They've beaten two mid-level teams on the road (Neb, Rutgers) by 7 & 3 points respectively.

I still went with Iowa because:
  • UCLA will have to pass the ball to win. Why? They suck at rushing (last in NCAA) and Iowa Rush-D is awesome (18th). Iowa Pass-D is decent and should hold up tonight.
  • Iowa depends on the run to win (10th). Although UCLA rush-D is very good (11th), Iowa has faced similar teams with good rush-D and done well.
 

quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
3,668
UCLA looking a lot better than Iowa here. The Bruins had an INT in the end zone by Iowa and a fumble into the end zone that was gathered up by Iowa. Iowa also had an INT early that lead to a TD. Without the turnovers UCLA would have 2 more scores and Iowa would have 1 less score.

UCLA moved the ball a lot better in the 1st half. Passing yardage is about even but UCLA leads in rushing 146 yds to 34 yds for Iowa.

I originally took Iowa -6.5 for the game. I'm taking UCLA +3.5 for the 2nd half.
 
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