It just feels like KC will cover that big number doesn't it.
After the rocky start to the season, KC seems to be getting their stuff together. Relatively strong play vs a few decent teams over the last several weeks. Having stomped the Raiders 41-14 four weeks ago, they seem to be likely to cover the big number this week.
With the exception of the win at Dallas, the Raiders have been on a fade pattern since early November. They've only covered the Dallas game spread since then (1-4 ATS), and that game now appears to be more of fluke than a basis for showing they are turning their season around.
There must be quite a few that agree with you. The line is moving up with a few -10 and -10.5 showing up. Best I can find this morning is -9.5.