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How is Hawaii Hoops?

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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,039
Sure feels like this line originated too high, and perhaps on purpose. They had to have known about the Hawaii action and by this morning the 3 is 1.5. Moneyline trading likely had a bit to do with this.

Seems like a position is being taken here. This game feels "loaded" when it comes to the moneyflow for the day although volume is still debatable here.

It's probably going to be good down the stretch, maybe an OT game.

This game is a candidate to trade both teams as underdogs through the game. I'm not surprised +115 pre game on the dog is hard to come by. It's when Hawaii takes the lead that you pick up Nevada LIVE.

I have not opened a trade here as +110/+111 is just not enough.

A good no vig line moneyline to work with here pre game is -/+120 or so and likely more representative of a "shaper" line than that -/+112 the Pinny is dealing.

In my opinion the market hold is a little high overall with Hawaii being the side getting shorted the most out here.

CRIS offering the +111.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
48,787
It’s the late game tonight
I know they’re home, which makes anybody good against my home team Reno

guys, this is really not for me. My neighbor asked me to write this he doesn’t go on for gambling forums because of his bitch ugly wife.
“bitch ugly wife” :lmao:
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,039
Seems like a position is being taken here. This game feels "loaded" when it comes to the moneyflow for the day although volume is still debatable here.

Money and action definitely came in on the ohter side here with Nevada as the volume picks up inside two hours until tip.

To be honest, the market looking more and more like less of a position and action being generated on both sides. Hawaii early, then Nevada late, but all able to be done keeping within the confines of a tight trading range.

So volume is up but hte contrarian angle is diminished.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
15,039
A good no vig line moneyline to work with here pre game is -/+120 or so and likely more representative of a "shaper" line than that -/+112 the Pinny is dealing.

With the latest move Pinny now dealing a -/+117 no vig line, moving towards my market based prediction.

We still have the last hour of trading of what looks to be a higher volume game.

I don't think we'll find a line, favorite or dog, that meets the -/+120 threshold (like Nevada -120 or Hawaii +120).
 
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