Sure feels like this line originated too high, and perhaps on purpose. They had to have known about the Hawaii action and by this morning the 3 is 1.5. Moneyline trading likely had a bit to do with this.
Seems like a position is being taken here. This game feels "loaded" when it comes to the moneyflow for the day although volume is still debatable here.
It's probably going to be good down the stretch, maybe an OT game.
This game is a candidate to trade both teams as underdogs through the game. I'm not surprised +115 pre game on the dog is hard to come by. It's when Hawaii takes the lead that you pick up Nevada LIVE.
I have not opened a trade here as +110/+111 is just not enough.
A good no vig line moneyline to work with here pre game is -/+120 or so and likely more representative of a "shaper" line than that -/+112 the
Pinny is dealing.
In my opinion the market hold is a little high overall with Hawaii being the side getting shorted the most out here.
CRIS offering the +111.