Home Run Derby Contest 7/18/22 $20 BTC

[Tanko]

Not a lot of action except for some Tennis and 2nd or 3rd tier leagues so for those of you hanging around today we'll have a small contest.

Home Run Derby Contest:

1. Pick the winner of each H2H matchup (see bracket below)
2. Points:
   Round 1 correct picks = 1 pt
   Round 2 correct picks = 2 pt
   Round 3 (Finals) correct pick = 3 pt
3. Most points wins.
4. Tiebreaker (as needed): How many home runs will be hit in the entire contest (all rounds by all batters). Closest under or over.
5. If there is a tie after the tiebreaker, the first post involved in the tie-breaker wins.
6. Only 1 post with picks allowed and no edits.
7. All disputes will be resolved by me and my decision is final and does not have to be justified.
8. I reserve the right to cancel an entry if it is determined the user is in violation of the spirit of the contest.
9. Winner will PM BTC address and will be paid the following day (assuming BTC has not fallen to $0).

 

[Tanko]

Round 1:
Schwarber
Soto
Alonso
Seager

Round 2:
Schwarber
Seager

Round 3:
Schwarber

TB: 307

 

[BobbyFK]

Thank you for the contest!

Just a quick reminder everyone that this is not a BMR sponsored contest, so we have no affiliation or endorsement with this and we will not be getting involved in any disputes.

That being said good luck to all and thank you again Tanko

 

[Tanko]

Thank you for the contest!

Just a quick reminder everyone that this is not a BMR sponsored contest, so we have no affiliation or endorsement with this and we will not be getting involved in any disputes.

That being said good luck to all and thank you again Tanko

Thanks Bobby.
Correct. This is just a TANKO contest.

 

[Tanko]

All selections must be made before the start of the contest (8:00 ET) tonight.

 

[carolinakid]

thanks Tanko

 

[Tanko]

I think Alonso is focused, having won this the last two years.

Only 2 others have won it two years in a row and no one has won 3 in a row.
Ken Griffey Jr. 1998/99
Yoenis Céspedes 2013/14

He's got a 10 step plan...

Juan Soto is your Home Run Derby champ! Takeaways and our favorite moments from Dodger Stadium

Soto outlasted 21-year-old phenom Julio Rodriguez in the final round. Here's what ruled the night in L.A.

www.espn.com

 

[Wagerallsports]

Thanks tank very generous of you

 

[Wagerallsports]

And makes it more interesting

 

[Enikk]

Round 1:
Schwarber
Soto
Acuna Jr
Seager

Round 2:
Soto
Acuna Jr

Round 3:
Soto

TB: 297

Thanks Tanko!!

 

[Tanko]

Some interesting odds to consider from BetOnline.

Looking at the top 4....

Exact Finals Matchups Odds at BetOnline:
Schwarber vs Alonso +300
Schwarber vs Seager +1000
Soto vs Alonso +500
Soto vs Seager +1600

Considering some scenarios
If you played all 4 the outcomes are:
- Worst Case - you net lose 1 unit with a Schwarber vs Alonso final.
- All other scenarios you net win from 1 to 12 units.

If you left the long-shot pairing (Sota vs Seager) out of the mix:
- Wost case - you net lose 3 units that were bet w/ a Soto vs Seager final.
- All other cases you net break-even (w/ Schwarber vs Alonso final) or win 2-7 units.

Some interesting plays to consider.

 

[Tanko]

The downside to making the play in the prior post is that historically, 2 or fewer favorites in the first round make it out of that round. 2016 Home Run derby was the last time 3 favorites made it out of round 1.

 

[Tanko]

In last 5 Home Run Derbys the winning seed has been:

2021 5th seed
2019 2nd seed
2018 2nd seed
2017 2nd seed
2016 5th seed.

 

[Pimike]

Round 1:
Schwarber
Soto
Alonso
Seager

Round 2:
Schwarber
Seager

Round 3:
Schwarber

TB: 310

 

[Bond Guy]

Round 1:
Schwarber
Soto
Alonso
Rodriguez

Round 2:
Soto
Alonso

Round 3:
Alonso

TB: 303

 

[Seahawkharry]

Round 1:
Schwarber
Soto
Alonso
Seager

Round 2:
Soto
Seager

Round 3:
Soto
TB: 305

 

[Tanko]

So far... Finals picks....

2 for Soto
2 for Schwarber
1 for Alonso

 

[carolinakid]

Round 1:
Schwarber
Alonso
Soto
Rodriguez

Round 2:
Schwarber
Alonso

Round 3:
Alonso

TB: 254

 

[white$phil$ivey]

Thank You for the contest !!!

Round 1:
Schwarber
Soto
Alonso
Seager

Round 2:
Alonso
Soto

Round 3:
Alonso

TB: 306

 

[BigJay]

Round 1
Schwarber
Soto
Alonso
Rodriguez

Round 2
Soto
Alonso

Round 3
Alonso

TB
289