Grand National betting

[pier0]

Any tips for Saturday's Grand National?

 

[G-Man]

I like Balthazar King (20s) and Auroras Encore (80s) - both odds are shortening.

 

[Hareeba]

I've found this bloke to be worth following:

http://www.learnbetwin.com/free-horse-racing-tips/aintree-grand-national-2013-tips-and-preview/

 

[pier0]

The Grand National is the most popular race amongst non racing enthusiasts as well as the most studied race by UK racing geeks that produce hundreds of statistics ranging from the important to determine a possible winner to the totally irrelevant all the way to the controversial and totally unrelated to betting.

Important imho:
number of races during the season in preparation for the Grand National ( winning horses seem to need 3 or more races)

jumping ability, having a history of falling and/or unseating the jockey is an obvious no no at the Grand National (history = 2 or more career falls)

must have done well in certain races (3m+) and race tracks (Ayr, Cheltenham, Ascot, but also "minor" ones like Chepstow)

Irrelevant imho:
horse age
weight carried

Everything considered, my ideal Grand National winner this year would have been Monbeg Dude, but his connections have passed on the race, so my selection is Teaforthree even though I don't like the odds (he was around 17.00 last night on Betfair, now down to 14.00).

If you like long shots I think
The Rainbow Hunter
Across The Bay
Saint Are
all have a chance to place and maybe even win

A particular mention for Becauseicouldntsee, one of the favorites in the last two editions of the Grand National and both times a faller. He has not win this season, but he's got more experience and the course and jumps are supposed to be easier this year. At odds of 120 (he was at 140 last night) is worth a shot.

 

[Corner]

I've backed Chicago Grey and Teaforthree, both each way, plus small bets on the outsider Mr Moonshine each way and old stager Swing Bill to finish in the first 10.

If you have bookmakers to bet with (I don't), look for ones that are offering 5 or 6 places rather than just the usual 4 each way.

 

[pier0]

Any bookmaker has 10 to be placed other than Betfair?

 

[Corner]

I don't think so - I have done all mine at Betfair.

 

[pier0]

There is no money on Betfair for that specific market. I wanted to bet on Roberto Goldback and there are £5 at an acceptable price.

 

[pier0]

<p>I like Balthazar King (20s) and Auroras Encore (80s) - both odds are shortening.</p>

Nice one!

 

[G-Man]

<p>I like Balthazar King (20s) and Auroras Encore (80s) - both odds are shortening.</p>

Nice ......

 

[Corner]

Well done G-Man. Happy enough with my small profit on the place markets.

 

[G-Man]

<p>Well done G-Man. Happy enough with my small profit on the place markets.</p>

I got lucky. It all counts Corner so well done as well for being in the profit.

 

[G-Man]

I heard today bad news on the winning jockey Ryan Mania who fell badly while racing in Hexham, and was airlifted to hospital. I hope he will be ok poor guy :-(