Goal Scorer Props

[cmaulsby]

Does anyone have a "somewhat" successful Anytime Goal Scorer system? Been working on this for a month using corsi scores of line combinations per game to find one or two scorers per game. Hitting at about 43%, which is okay since props are nearly all plus-money, but wondering what stats/formulas/methods others use. Not asking for the "secret sauce" but rather a direction to follow.

 

[BMR Genie]

I will link your thread to the Main Forum and hope somebody can chip in with good ideas, Cmaulsby.

 

[phillyflyers]

What sport?

 

[BMR Genie]

What sport?

He posted this in the hockey forum, so guess it's hockey.

 

[jamesy2422]

do you take into account goals scored vs "expected goals from their shots taken"? i have seen some focus on what should have happened as opposed to what actually happened.