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***G-Man's NFL Week 6 ***

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G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
676
Jacksonville ev over Chicago. 5 units
Jags got heir act together last week and piled up 500 yds against the Colts.
The Bears were lucky to beat 3 teams this year as all of them have losing records. The Jags are still a losing team, but seemed to wake up and play like they were projected, before the year started.
Just as important is the fact that Chicago benefited in 3 wins from opponents turnovers.

Washington +6.5 over Baltimore. 5 units
ML+240. 2 units

Guess who has the better defense and also the better scoring differential? Yep - the Skins.
No way the Ravens get to that Skins offense. Jayden Daniels is too quick and he hits long passes easily.
Also since week 2 they've held every team to under 18 points except week 3 - when the Bengals scored 33 but lost to the Skins 38-33..
Wash is feasting on AFC north and is 2-0 SU and could sweep the cdivision as the Steelers have no offense either.
The only advantage Baltimore has is a 6.1 run avg.per carry, #1 in the league. But if they get behind that will vanish.

Tampa-3.5 over Saints. 10 units.
Carr is out at QB.

Rookie Spencer Rattler, a fifth-round draft choice in April, will start at quarterback for New Orleans in place of Derek Carr, who sustained an oblique injury in the fourth quarter against the Chiefs.
This is also a revenge game for Tampa as they lost last December 23-13.
Tampa ran for a season high last week against Atlanta for 160 yds = which means they will likely move the ball at will.
Up until this week - the Saints had the #3 offense and the #8 defense. That will all change when they have to punt and cant get 1st downs.

Philly -8.5 over Browns . No play
OVER 41.5. 4 units.

TheBrowns are getting beat in every statistical way. All of their best players are out or questionable.

Green Bay -5.5 over Arizona. 5 units
Packers have the best passing and rushing stats per game They're rushing for 5.2 yds per carry and passing for 10.0 yards per completion.


4PM
Raiders +3 over Pitt. 3 units
No team that scores 18 points per game should be favored on the road in the NFL. Even though Pitt and the Chargers are #1 and #2 on defense.

Denver +3 over Chargers. 4 units.

No team that scores 17 points per game should be favored on the road in the NFL.

Detroit -3 over Dallas. 4 units.
Revenge game from last year when the officials screwed Detroit out of a win.



8PM
Giants +3.5 ove Cincy. 3 units

Best defense last 5 games is the Giants as they allowed 20 points or less 4 times.
Bengals are allowing 30 points oper game on defense last 3. Worst in the NF.L
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
676
3 team par lost. -200.00

Thru Sunday
5-8. -270.00

W+2700.00
L-2970.00

Monday
Jets +1 over Buffalo. 10 units


Third straight road game for Bills - all 3 including Jets tonight vs better defensive teams.
Bills three wins came against three poor defenses.

Buffalo has been out gained in all 3 road games this year. ALSO they have been the DOG in all three! >> Miami-Houston-Balt.

This is a false favorite for the Public which has over 60% on Buffalo.
In important stats, with total yards allowed per game Buffalo is negative by -42 yds per game while the Jets are positive plus by +30 yds per game.
In addition, the Jets have allowed 86 yds per game less than Buffalo on the season. 256 to 342.
 
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