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*****G-Man's NFL Week 16 Merry Christmas*****

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G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
589
Season 91-62 (60%) +5,170.00

Thursday Dec21st
8PM
Rams -4 over Saints. 5 units

Saturday Dec23rd
4PM
Pittsburgh +2.5 (-105) over Bengals. 10 units (No Chase=No win)

8PM
Chargers +12.5 over Buffalo. 2 units. <Because its on TV.
(Dallas beat themselves in Buffalo by allowing 266 yds rushing.. Bills are over priced away)

Sunday
1PM
Browns ML-140 over Houston 10 units.
(Unstoppable Now with Flacco. Playoff bound)

Minnesota +4 (-130) over Detroit. 5 units. ( Vikes still in hunt with 7 wins.)

Denver -6 over Patriots. 4 units (Patriots want 2nd Pk in Draft)

4PM
Miami ML-125 over Dallas 10 units ( Phins have Hill. CK status<. Dallas cant stop him.)

Tampa PK over Jags. 4 units (Bucs Could still win Division) Shake-n-Bake in a grove now.

More Monday.
Merry Christmas!
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
589
Monday. Christmas Day!

KC -9.5 (-130) 5 units
KC lost 3 of the last 5.
In the three losses, they failed to score 20 points. 17 vs Philly. 19 at Green Bay and 17 Vs Buffalo.
The last time KC won by 10 pts or more was in Vegas. They beat the Raiders 31-17. It also was the only game of the last five that they didnt have any turnovers.
The line for that game was KC-9 at Vegas. The betting public is not behind them now - as they were earlier in the season. In fact the public is now 56% on LV.
KC faced 4 teams in a row with .500 records or worse at the time of the matchups, this is the fifth.
KC still has a great defense, but scoring is down 6 pts per game from last year.
Reid is usually a fade guy at home ATS lately. 0-2 last two.

The Raiders were rolling up points last week with 63. They benefited from five(5) turnovers from the Chargers and a coach on the way out.
I dont see that happening again.

Eagles -13 over Giants. 5 units.
Another team who didnt score 20 pts in its last three games.
Another Double-Digit line as well just like KC.
Other than a division rival, I don't think the Giants are looking to do anything.
They scored 24 pts on the Packers who had 3 turnovers and 10 pts against NE with 6 pts last week at N.O.
If Philly wins this they will have a 1 game advantage over Dallas for the division winner.

Ravens +6.5 (-115) over SF. 5 units
The Ravens need this game because next week they face Miami for the home field advantage through the playoffs. If Miami wins that game they wolud be tied and would have the Home Field with the SU win record between the two. The Birds need to be up one game. next week.
Miami faces Buffalo in the last regular season game the week after Baltimore.
The Ravens close out the season with the Steelers.
This SF game is the most important.

SF faced ONE team from the AFC north with a true staring QB. They were beat by the Bengals and Joe Burrow.
The Ravens are the top offense in the North division and will be hard to stop.
They also hold the #1 defense in all of the NFL and allowing only 16 pts per game.
They're a plus +11 scoring team (27-16) and this line +6.5 is far too large facing those numbers.

Merry Christmas to all!
 
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