Found these today. Good luck all!
Free Breeder’s Cup Past Performances and Preview Thread
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Used to really be into the Breeder’s Cup
Just don’t pay that much attention anymore or have the interest
Still enjoy the Derby and maybe the other two Triple Crown races but that’s about it
That says. Those are definitely some great information sources for anyone who’s playing the big races this weekend
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I’m sure a lot of people had futures on Sovereignty winning the BCC
Saw he’s been the pretty big fave for weeks
Hope they get refunded
Those kinds of futures are usually “all in” betting which would make it a loss. Tough when it happens but that’s why you are getting to lock in better odds.
A tip for anyone playing.
The track is very deep as of yesterday. They will almost assuredly grade cushion from the rail outwards before Fridays races.
Do yourself a favor and watch the trips on Friday closely. Watch for the inside to see if all inside horses are still firing when others are not. Watch for any kind of consistency such as speed is carrying or speed is not carrying. If rail positions are moving up from the inside around the far turn. Or, maybe it’s the outside that is best. A horse with a 3 wide trip that runs fresh when asked.
More often when not, when a new meeting is starting , the maintenance crew has laid out a plan to make the track perfect. But because it is so difficult to achieve that every time, biases can and do show up.
It’s just as beneficial to know which horses will most likely get favorable trips as it is knowing probability of unfavorable trips.
Whatever you see from Friday will most likely carryover to Saturday.
Do understand that they are trying to achieve a fair even track. Maybe they will. That’s always the best scenario. But if it doesn’t materialize a bias of speed, inside runners, outside speed, outside closers could appear.
Pay attention to this and you will know information that more than 90% of the players are unaware of.
Obviously this is for dirt races. Turf can also favor a certain running style but turf biases are not as frequent.
Remember, the early pace almost always dictates the final outcome.
Hope that helps. .
GL everyone.
The track is very deep as of yesterday. They will almost assuredly grade cushion from the rail outwards before Fridays races.
Do yourself a favor and watch the trips on Friday closely. Watch for the inside to see if all inside horses are still firing when others are not. Watch for any kind of consistency such as speed is carrying or speed is not carrying. If rail positions are moving up from the inside around the far turn. Or, maybe it’s the outside that is best. A horse with a 3 wide trip that runs fresh when asked.
More often when not, when a new meeting is starting , the maintenance crew has laid out a plan to make the track perfect. But because it is so difficult to achieve that every time, biases can and do show up.
It’s just as beneficial to know which horses will most likely get favorable trips as it is knowing probability of unfavorable trips.
Whatever you see from Friday will most likely carryover to Saturday.
Do understand that they are trying to achieve a fair even track. Maybe they will. That’s always the best scenario. But if it doesn’t materialize a bias of speed, inside runners, outside speed, outside closers could appear.
Pay attention to this and you will know information that more than 90% of the players are unaware of.
Obviously this is for dirt races. Turf can also favor a certain running style but turf biases are not as frequent.
Remember, the early pace almost always dictates the final outcome.
Hope that helps. .
GL everyone.
Ochoa running anyone in BC @rdalert447 ???
samsncharge99
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- Sep 30, 2022
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wow what a race this will be!!!
I’ve seen Fierceness run multiple times. I have not looked at the pp’s yet but having watched Fierceness run while inside horses , that is NOT where he is mentally comfortable.
I’m going on memory but in the Met mile was sloppy and as soon as the outside speed crossed over in front of him, he threw his head up and hated it. He did not really try much after that.
Then, in his next race , when he was laying 2nd and the long shot rabbit flew past him early down the backside, as soon as his right eye was covered up by the outside horse, he resented it and never fired after that. Next, he gets a clean trip and wins easily with no horse pinning him inside.
In this race the 1 post spells trouble for his preferred running style. He really doesn’t want to go early but if he doesn’t, there is a big chance he gets a trip he is uncomfortable with. If so, you have a very vulnerable favorite. Careful betting or using him. He has a lot to overcome to be willing to give his best effort so most likely the play would be to toss him.
I’ll look in the next couple days and try and post more thoughts.
In all seriousness, the horses talk to you every time they compete. You have to learn how to listen with your eyes not ears. Their mannerisms are shouting out the answer.
It’s real hard but when you see it , are aware of it, and it shows up , it seems so easy. Doesn’t work out like that all the time but learn it and trust it, and it’s the closest thing to having tomorrows results today.
I wouldn’t lie to you JJ.
The form gives you the chance to put the race together. But the form only tells you where the horses were last race. You need to learn to understand WHY they were where they were. Learn THAT, and away you go JJ.
My father used to go crazy when he got home from work and that show was on tv. He hated that show.
Who knew what the future held.
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