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Divisional Round lines seem a little funky overall

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stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
12,219
Texans/Chiefs -- probably the best line of the bunch. I pegged it right at about 9, and you see it hover 8-9 points. I think value on KC if you got 7.5

Commanders/Lions -- Even at full strength, Detroit defense is deceptively bad against run. Line should probably be more like 7

Rams/Eagles -- Could be factoring weather/previous matchup I guess. But getting 6 to 6.5 seems like a lot. Should be more like 4

Ravens/Bills -- This one has been mostly corrected, but opened at BUF -2, which was way off. Moving towards Pk or BAL -1. Ravens should be favored here
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
13,800
Commanders/Lions -- Even at full strength, Detroit defense is deceptively bad against run. Line should probably be more like 7

Line opened onshore at 7.5 some houses picked it up at 8.5 and while it bounced around around 9, there are definitely early buyers at 10.

I am one of them, for the right early price.

Perhaps the unexpected event of a Goff interception helps out as Goff to throw a pick is set up in the prop market. Wash doesn't get many int's, and Goff hasn't been throwing them. So you know how that goes.

55.5 a pretty high line too. Too high. UNDER a decent mathematical play at that level. Maybe that's what gets busted in like an OT game or something.

But WASH looks attractive, I must admit. And Detroit has a history of disappointment, lol.
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
12,219
Line opened onshore at 7.5 some houses picked it up at 8.5 and while it bounced around around 9, there are definitely early buyers at 10.

I am one of them, for the right early price.

Perhaps the unexpected event of a Goff interception helps out as Goff to throw a pick is set up in the prop market. Wash doesn't get many int's, and Goff hasn't been throwing them. So you know how that goes.

55.5 a pretty high line too. Too high. UNDER a decent mathematical play at that level. Maybe that's what gets busted in like an OT game or something.

But WASH looks attractive, I must admit. And Detroit has a history of disappointment, lol.
Skins look very attractive
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
32,335
Texans/Chiefs -- probably the best line of the bunch. I pegged it right at about 9, and you see it hover 8-9 points. I think value on KC if you got 7.5

Commanders/Lions -- Even at full strength, Detroit defense is deceptively bad against run. Line should probably be more like 7

Rams/Eagles -- Could be factoring weather/previous matchup I guess. But getting 6 to 6.5 seems like a lot. Should be more like 4

Ravens/Bills -- This one has been mostly corrected, but opened at BUF -2, which was way off. Moving towards Pk or BAL -1. Ravens should be favored here
Lions will keep another way to keep the game close.
 
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