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Conf USA championship: Jax st/West tucky

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
46,053
Rematch from a week ago. It was pretty much a draw in the last game.

Jax St runs and got their typical 230 yards.
W. Kent passes and got 330 yds.


I foresee the same tonight. Could go either way so I'd take the points with W. Kent. (which I did).
Also with Huff (Jax St QB) questionable their running game may lag.

GL Archie.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
46,053
Not saying I agree with this pick, but an angle to consider or FADE.

View attachment 48513
Wonder if he knew if Huff was in/out for the game?
Its still up in the air.



At this time, just hours ahead of the Conference USA Championship Game, Huff is considered a game-time decision. Speaking with the media earlier in the week, Jacksonville State head coach Rich Rodriguez said that Huff’s ‘tweaked ankle’ would limit him all week in practice.

“He tweaked his ankle in the third quarter,” Rodriguez said during media availability on Tuesday ahead of Friday’s night’s game. “He’s going to be limited all week. He’s probably going to be up to a game time thing, how we feel if he can be effective.”
 
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JDS

JDS

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Dec 11, 2021
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Wonder if he knew if Huff was in/out for the game?
Its still up in the air.



At this time, just hours ahead of the Conference USA Championship Game, Huff is considered a game-time decision. Speaking with the media earlier in the week, Jacksonville State head coach Rich Rodriguez said that Huff’s ‘tweaked ankle’ would limit him all week in practice.

“He tweaked his ankle in the third quarter,” Rodriguez said during media availability on Tuesday ahead of Friday’s night’s game. “He’s going to be limited all week. He’s probably going to be up to a game time thing, how we feel if he can be effective.”
Probably not, and when the news surfaces that he’s not going to play potentially, then the line will stream. You just gotta be ready with that info to hit & have your finger on that trigger.
 

Archie

Archie

Joined
Nov 8, 2021
Messages
4,015
I'm not sure they did.

Huff WB might be hurt.
Stewart RB had his typical 20+ carries
The leading tacklers on Jax St also had their typical numbers. Not sure about the 2ndary.

near last paragraph

It’s been a wild season in Conference USA, but Friday’s title game brings us the 2 best teams in the conference all season long. It’s been a tremendous year for Jacksonville State, even despite them stumbling a bit down the stretch. The same can’t be said for Western Kentucky, as the Hilltoppers lost consecutive games against Louisiana Tech and Liberty, before needing a 50-yard field goal on the game’s final play to beat this same Jacksonville State team a week ago. However, the Gamecocks were without starting quarterback Tyler Huff, who was injured early in the second quarter of that contest. While his status for this game is unconfirmed, the line would suggest that he’s going to play, and I believe that he was held out of the remainder of last week’s contest as a precaution. Even if Huff isn’t fully healthy, the Gamecocks can trust Tre Stewart and their ground attack, which should see success against a Western Kentucky defense that is outside the top 100 in and rushing success rate stuff rate over the past month.

Backup quarterback Logan Smothers isn’t anything special, but he does have plenty of experience in Rich Rodriguez’s offensive system and should be just fine leading this offense against a very poor Western Kentucky defense on Friday. This is a defensive unit is 117th in rushing success rate allowed and outside the top 100 in EPA per rush on the season, and that doesn’t bode well against a Gamecocks offense that has one of the highest rush rates in the country. The Hilltoppers are 127th in third and fourth down success allowed (College Football Insiders) on defense, and Jacksonville State’s offense is sitting inside the top 20 in Early Downs EPA – which should put the Gamecocks in multiple manageable 3rd down situations.

Even after taking out multiple starters on both sides of the ball a week ago, Jacksonville State still finished with a postgame win expectancy of 63% in that game. This one has all the makings of a shootout, and I’ll side with the home team to get it done.

Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State prediction: Jacksonville State -4.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 5.
 
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