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College Football Odds & Picks: How We’re Betting Tuesday Night’s MACtion Games (Nov. 15)

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biggins

biggins

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3,924

Bowling Green vs. Toledo​



Bowling Green vs Toledo Betting Pick​

The key matchup in this game will be Toledo’s passing offense against this Bowling Green pass defense.

If Finn can have a successful day and move the ball, then I expect Toledo’s offense to have a good day. But given Bowling Green’s ability to plug up the run, the Rockets will be in trouble if they can’t move the ball through the air.

I don’t think Bowling Green’s offense will have any answers for Toledo’s strong defense.

With the questions surrounding the Rockets offense, I like the under in this game. The strength of the Bowling Green defense matches up with this Toledo attack in a way that should turn this into a low-scoring rock fight.

  1. Pick: Under 51 ⋅ Play to 49.
 

biggins

biggins

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3,924

Ohio vs. Ball State​

Ohio vs Ball State Betting Pick​

Ohio is the hottest team in the MAC, having covered the spread in all six matchups against conference opponents this season.

But the Bobcats are coming off a victory over in-state rival Miami (OH) and will now be traveling on the road against a sneaky Ball State team that boasts one of the top running backs in the conference.

Steele has rushed for over 190 yards two weeks in a row against Kent State and Toledo. The Ohio rushing defense has certainly had its moments recently, holding Akron, Western Michigan, Buffalo and Miami (OH) to a combined average of 59 rushing yards per game.

But we’ve seen it get gashed on the ground at times, allowing 605 yards rushing to Northern Illinois and Kent State. Ball State has the ground attack to put up similar numbers in this game.

The Cardinals defense has been strong against the pass, allowing just 6.2 yards per pass attempt this season. They can limit the big plays and keep Rourke in check.

Ohio is taking over 80% of the money in this game, and I consider myself a contrarian. This is a great sell-high spot on the Bobcats, so I’ll back Ball State to become bowl eligible as a home underdog.

  1. Pick: Ball State +4 (Play to +3)
 
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