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College Basketball Tuesday: N. Carolina@Syracuse & Others

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
45,444
Interesting matchup tonight.
Looks like an edge to N. Carolina tonight but the -4.5 NC line makes me think twice.

I believe CK has mentioned, the ACC is a homer confernce this year. Excluding the 3 bottom dwellers in the league (ND, G-Tech, Louisville) home teams are winning at a 32-10 clip SU in conference games.

When you consider only games against the top 11 conf teams, NC is 0-3 on the road. Syracuse is 2-1 at home in conference against the top conf teams. They did lose to Pitt in mid Dec by 2 pts.

Last 5 ATS (all games)
Syracuse 4-0-1
NC 3-2

Last 5 Home/Away ATS
Syracuse (Home) 3-1-1 (the lone loss ATS was by 2 vs Pitt - mid Dec).
NC (Away) 1-4 (the lone cover against lowly Louisville)

I like the Syracuse +4.5 tonight and think homer trend continues.

Syr +4.5
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
45,444
Anyone see and edge on CBB games they like tonight?

I'm also on Miami -3


The line should be Miami -7 but their highest scorer (Wong) is out so the line settled at -3 Miami.

Miami is deep on the bench so they should be able to take care of Fla St. minus the points but Fla St. is on a 2 game run with a big win vs Pitt on the road so they may "feel" motivated.

Miami has only lost 1 game to a "bad" team, G. Tech on Jan 4th and that could be considered a fluke . They were winning easily and decided to stop scoring in the last 5 minutes. I mean 0 points in the last 5 minutes. That is crazy. Otherwise they beat bad teams and only lose to top 40 teams on the road. Fla St. is #143


After looking it over, I'm adding this to my card.

Miami -3
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
45,444
TCU -5 has some legs. Oklahoma is not a good road team.
TCU is coming around. They just beat Kanas at Allen Fieldhouse. I don't think TCU will have a let down. They are too well coached.
 
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