I like the Guardians in this matchup.
Pitching:
McKenzie (CLE) 3.11 ERA vs Gonzales (SEA) 4.08 ERA. McKenzie is only allowing a very respectable 0.185 AVG (career) against these Mariners. Recent performance gives an edge to McKenzie. He's given up 8 runs in his last 4 starts for a 2.60 ERA. Gonzales has given up 15 runs in his last 4 starts for a 6.23 ERA.
Batting:
At the plate it doesn't get much closer than these two teams over the last 7-10 days.
CLE WRC+ 100, OPS 0.704, AVG 0.238
SEA WRC+ 111, OPS 0.722, AVG 0.238
Relief Pitching:
Both teams have very good bullpens. CLE 2.84 ERA. SEA 2.66 ERA.
Misc:
Cleveland is a +7 units on the road this year. Seattle is surprisingly -2 units at home.
Cleveland hasn't lost a series since the All-Star break. More impressively they are 8-2 in the first games of each series over that time (losing to Boston and Houston). They are 5-1 in first game's of series on the road. Seattle is 5-5 in the first games of series since All-Star break and are 2-3 in first game's of series at home.
I think there is some value on at CLE ML -108
GL
Pitching:
McKenzie (CLE) 3.11 ERA vs Gonzales (SEA) 4.08 ERA. McKenzie is only allowing a very respectable 0.185 AVG (career) against these Mariners. Recent performance gives an edge to McKenzie. He's given up 8 runs in his last 4 starts for a 2.60 ERA. Gonzales has given up 15 runs in his last 4 starts for a 6.23 ERA.
Batting:
At the plate it doesn't get much closer than these two teams over the last 7-10 days.
CLE WRC+ 100, OPS 0.704, AVG 0.238
SEA WRC+ 111, OPS 0.722, AVG 0.238
Relief Pitching:
Both teams have very good bullpens. CLE 2.84 ERA. SEA 2.66 ERA.
Misc:
Cleveland is a +7 units on the road this year. Seattle is surprisingly -2 units at home.
Cleveland hasn't lost a series since the All-Star break. More impressively they are 8-2 in the first games of each series over that time (losing to Boston and Houston). They are 5-1 in first game's of series on the road. Seattle is 5-5 in the first games of series since All-Star break and are 2-3 in first game's of series at home.
I think there is some value on at CLE ML -108
GL
