Champions League 2nd Leg of Semifinals Today - What is your play?

[Tanko]

Games kick-off at 3:00 ET

Real Madrid at Chelsea (Real Madrid won game 1 last week 3-1).
Villarreal at Bayern (Villarreal won game 1 last week 1-0).


Tie-breakers if teams split their 1st and 2nd leg games:
- Most goals scored in both games.
- If still tied, they play two 15 minute periods
- If still tied, penalty shoot-out


Chelsea has a huge uphill climb having lost at home last week by 2 goal differential. They must win at Real and by at least 2 to force extra periods. They will be exceptionally agressive today but, Real may not be since a 1-0 loss still allows them to advance.

On the other side, Bayern played extremely flat during leg 1 last week. Villarreal played exceptionally well but Bayern usually steps up during home games so this will be interesting to see how long Villerreal can hang on. The books are expected Bayern to blow them out of the water amd win by at least 2 goals today.


Bayern to advance is -300. Villerreal to advance is +230.
Real to advance -1000. Chelsea to advance +600

Its soccer so there are a tremendous number of alternative lines available.

What's you lean/play on these matches today???

 

[Tanko]

One of the best bets I see on today's games is the over 2.5 for Real/Chelsea.

Its a little pricey at -132 but, Chelsea is going to come out in desperation mode. They will be aggressive in their play. They will either score or likely give up easy goals with this type of approach.

They have nothing to lose being down by 2 goal differential, especially on the road.

That's probably my best bet of these two games today.

 

[Tanko]

20 min to start of the games.
I've seen PokerIR is on Chelsea over 1.5 +115 goals


A ton of money is on both overs.
88% Bayern/Villarreal over 3.5
77% Chelsea/Read over 2.5

 

[Over Under]

Soccer is not my field if expertise but I can always follow.

 

[Tanko]

Wow Villerreal tied Bayern to advance.
Bayern had the game 1-0 forever. Then Villarreal made a long runs with great passing to tie it in 87th min.

Wow what an upset.

If Chelse pulls out their game it will be another upset. Chelsea was +1000 to advance.

 

[Tanko]

One of the best bets I see on today's games is the over 2.5 for Real/Chelsea.

Its a little pricey at -132 but, Chelsea is going to come out in desperation mode. They will be aggressive in their play. They will either score or likely give up easy goals with this type of approach.

They have nothing to lose being down by 2 goal differential, especially on the road.

That's probably my best bet of these two games today.

Easy over today in this match.

Played out as expected. End of regulation score was 3-1 Chelsea.