There are currently 4 teams tied at 7-5 for 3 Wild-card spots. That would project to the #7 seed needing a 10-7 record or getting through on tie-breakers at 9-8. A 9-8 tie-breaker would likely involve multiple teams because there are also 3 teams at 6-6. The 4-8 Jets would need to win out to reach 9-8. If the Jets games were coin flips they would be 1 in 32 just to make the tie-breaker. Without looking at schedules the math suggests they're something around +12500 to make the playoffs.