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Betting 101 advice............add your input

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
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wait about a week on opening day of any sport

this is a common misconception. i believe.

true lines are weak/unknown early on and stabilize over time.

waiting a week or 3, is for stat/ model bettors usually who want to get a feel for it first.
 

quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
4,578
this is a common misconception. i believe.

true lines are weak/unknown early on and stabilize over time.

waiting a week or 3, is for stat/ model bettors usually who want to get a feel for it first.
Stat/model/trend/system, whatever you call it, can change from season to season as books adjust.

"A trend is only good until it isn't."
 

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,214
Stat/model/trend/system, whatever you call it, can change from season to season as books adjust.

"A trend is only good until it isn't."


ofc, wouldnt it change or adjust every game anyways ?
since every game is supposed to be treated as a seperate animal

imagine MLB season ... all year long . no break.
how much would a 3 month diff. make ? - not talking about trends here.

point i'm trying to make is, its the same odds/variance of winning today , than it is 3 weeks from now.
 

quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
4,578
ofc, wouldnt it change or adjust every game anyways ?
since every game is supposed to be treated as a seperate animal

imagine MLB season ... all year long . no break.
how much would a 3 month diff. make ? - not talking about trends here.

point i'm trying to make is, its the same odds/variance of winning today , than it is 3 weeks from now.
Some trends are valid for years regardless of which time of the year it is (with a few exceptions like late in the season). Except in those cases it doesn't matter about adjusting for every game. Yes, every game is different but apparently not enough to make the trend invalid.

Others are only valid for a certain part of the season like you mention.
 

Seahawkharry

Seahawkharry

Joined
Nov 30, 2021
Messages
2,329
I bet because I like to win I enjoy the Hunt.. the Money is nice but I put all other responsibilities above my budget for gambling I have a Family and goals and I work hard so I play for small Wagers it works for me I do cash out what I don't do is ever go broke..ever
 
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