MinnesotaFats
MinnesotaFats
Active BMR member
- Joined
- Nov 1, 2021
- Messages
- 3,452
Very difficult match up here.
The fighting Phillies, who were left for dead in May with a losing record and horrible manager, have been on a 5 month terror (except for a week in Sept when they cost me dearly) propelled by a remarkable game 1 9th inning comeback in the 1st round....
Is it real, is it smoke and mirrors?
Houston once again finds themselves playing in the World Series....apparently clean and scandal free and despite Dusty Baker and his world's worst post season managerial record. Dusty and his toothpick, who tied each other on the Wonderlick, send Verlander to the mound game 1 versus Wheeler.
JV comes in rested and having sported one of his most dominate years. At -160 that's heavy juice, but I like JVs match up versus Phillies lefties.
JV gets big KO numbers versus lefties who struggle w 'contact' high in the zone, this is his Forte and Schwarber and Harper's weakness. Although both had great seasons and certainly caught up to some high heat, their % of balls in play on pitches considered top 20% of zone were both in the bottom 25% of MLB lefties.
If you can neutralized those two, who are the on base & rbi engin of the Phillies, then you can beat them! After that it does not get any easier for Philly as Houston might sport the deepest pitching staff modern baseball has ever seen, with 6 legitimate MLB starters, Dusty won't need to sweat the late innings with unproven talent nor lose sleep over 'tomorrow's pitching'....it's not the greatest staff ever, but it's mighty intimidating if you can't consistently string together multiple hits.
Houston line up has been productive from top to #5 all year...
If they get any productive at bats from the bottom half or if Nola/ Wheeler cant contain that top half, this might be a 4 or 5 game series and we'll get discounted mattresses from Mack!
I'm laying the -150 to -160 tonite! Philly isn't as scrappy as Seattle (who beat up on Verlander w 1000 paper cuts).
The fighting Phillies, who were left for dead in May with a losing record and horrible manager, have been on a 5 month terror (except for a week in Sept when they cost me dearly) propelled by a remarkable game 1 9th inning comeback in the 1st round....
Is it real, is it smoke and mirrors?
Houston once again finds themselves playing in the World Series....apparently clean and scandal free and despite Dusty Baker and his world's worst post season managerial record. Dusty and his toothpick, who tied each other on the Wonderlick, send Verlander to the mound game 1 versus Wheeler.
JV comes in rested and having sported one of his most dominate years. At -160 that's heavy juice, but I like JVs match up versus Phillies lefties.
JV gets big KO numbers versus lefties who struggle w 'contact' high in the zone, this is his Forte and Schwarber and Harper's weakness. Although both had great seasons and certainly caught up to some high heat, their % of balls in play on pitches considered top 20% of zone were both in the bottom 25% of MLB lefties.
If you can neutralized those two, who are the on base & rbi engin of the Phillies, then you can beat them! After that it does not get any easier for Philly as Houston might sport the deepest pitching staff modern baseball has ever seen, with 6 legitimate MLB starters, Dusty won't need to sweat the late innings with unproven talent nor lose sleep over 'tomorrow's pitching'....it's not the greatest staff ever, but it's mighty intimidating if you can't consistently string together multiple hits.
Houston line up has been productive from top to #5 all year...
If they get any productive at bats from the bottom half or if Nola/ Wheeler cant contain that top half, this might be a 4 or 5 game series and we'll get discounted mattresses from Mack!
I'm laying the -150 to -160 tonite! Philly isn't as scrappy as Seattle (who beat up on Verlander w 1000 paper cuts).