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Baseball HOF announcement tomorrow @ 6pm EST - who makes it this year ?

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djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
2,105
With no candidate except Beltre expected to make on their first go around - focus now on a lot of the holdovers.

Do Helton or Wagner gain enough votes this year ? Where do A-Rod, Sheffield and Manny wind up in their totals ?

This is Sheffield’s final year - likely a no go but eventually a veterans committee pick. To me his career looks similar to Beltre - with the exception of the whole proven ‘roid thing of course.

Helton - yes he belongs. Coors aided numbers / but still a very good hitter.

Wagner - again yes. Dominate for a 7 year period and great for over a dozen.

Arod belongs - but won’t get in again because well he’s Arod. He’s a lighting rod for everything people hate about the modern game - big $$ contract, me first player and steroids.

Manny Ramirez pretty much Arod Jr - same fate.

Francisco Rodriguez seems a big jump I think - especially if Wagner makes it in. Won’t break 50% just yet - but gains support for next year.

And for the record - the barring of players for whatever reason is a joke. There should be 3 clssses of entry - stats - writers and veterans vote.

Stats - if you are in the top 5% of key numbers for say any 15 year span - your in. Gives credit to players whose careers are cut short and slow starters - while not over emphasizing guys who had lengthy careers and racked up good numbers throughout. If you’re in the top 5% of BA, HR, RBI or ERA, W or Ks - you deserve to be in automatically.

Writers (with a fan vote) - again - let’s keep the traditional vote option. Players not automatically in can go the traditional route. Cut candidacy to 5 years though - 10 is too long. Fan vote is a “super vote” anyone who gains 50.1% of writers and scores top in fan vote gets in.

Veterans - vets committe considers alternate eras every other year - say 1980 present debuts and pre 1980. After 5 years - it goes to the vets committee of players.

The Football HOF has murderers (plural) in it - basketball convicted gamblers and cheats. The fact baseball is barring Bonds, Rose, Shoeless Joe is a simply wrong.


Last year candidates and results:

Todd Helton | 72.2% | 6th year

Billy Wagner | 68.1% | 9th year

Andruw Jones | 58.1% | 7th year

Gary Sheffield | 55.0% | 10th year

Carlos Beltrán | 46.5% | 2nd year

Álex Rodríguez | 35.7% | 3rd year

Manny Ramírez | 33.2% | 8th year

Omar Vizquel | 19.5% | 7th year

Andy Pettitte | 17.0% | 6th year

Bobby Abreu | 15.4% | 5th year

Jimmy Rollins | 12.9% | 3rd year

Mark Buehrle | 10.8% | 4th year

Francisco Rodríguez | 10.8% | 2nd year
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
2,105
Sheffield with ZERO chance - hated by writers and veterans alike.

Talented - by like Uncle Dwight a thug at heart. He just never knew when to shut up and pissed off a lot of guys in the clubhouse.

Offensively - he was a great player who likely benefited from steroids and pain pills. Played for a lot of teams for a reason - he was a clubhouse cancer.
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
30,340
Sheffield with ZERO chance - hated by writers and veterans alike.

Talented - by like Uncle Dwight a thug at heart. He just never knew when to shut up and pissed off a lot of guys in the clubhouse.

Offensively - he was a great player who likely benefited from steroids and pain pills. Played for a lot of teams for a reason - he was a clubhouse cancer.
How many from last year's list do you think will be able to make it?
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
2,105
Helton will clear 75%
Wagner will be 70% - 75% is a coin flip though - I think it goes his eay

Beltran will push 70% I suspect
F-Rod to clear 40%
Rollins gains votes

That’s how I see it - everyone else status quo or loses.

Andruw Jones to me is a name that begins to lose appeal - compare to Dave Parker, Dale Murphy, Dwight Evans - I just don’t see him being “more deserving” than those names.

Concepcion belongs in there too - as does Munson. Billy Martin as well too in my book at least.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
2,105
Every year the baseball, Hall of Fame is slightly getting water down
How so ?

There are certainly guys who I question - but it’s not like it started this decade.

Names elected in the 1970s/80s that compared to others of their day just don’t match up on stats. But they are in.

Koufax has a relatively brief period of dominance - but he’s in there and considered one of the greatest ever.

A lot of guys careers enhanced by where the played or who they played with - and a few were hurt by this. It’s not the hall of nice guys - it’s a hall built to recognize greatness ON the field. Not championship teams you were part of or how you treated writers.
 
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