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Are you using a certain strategy BMR survivor Contest?

Archie

Archie

Joined
Nov 8, 2021
Messages
6,365
combination of AI string inputs with different sites season long win projections with a top secret dangerous mind 4 walled and ceiling white board I had made in my office that I only use on extreme doses of ephedrine and sleep deprivation every 3rd weekend of the month


I will compile that all and then discuss with my fellow Sunday gamblers breakfast group at Denny's each week to finalize
 

Archie

Archie

Joined
Nov 8, 2021
Messages
6,365
you guys are missing the boat on risk analysis leverage vs expected value vs standard distribution in a contest like this

increase your chances of winning week 10-18 now.

losing week 1 vs losing week 9 is exactly the same. there is no benefit in a 8 week streak in you still lose to more strategic players

don't play frogger, week by week just get get crushed by KVB playing 5 dimensional chess
 

seaborneq

seaborneq

Joined
Aug 7, 2022
Messages
1,926
Saving teams until the end of the season is a crapshoot. If you saved Kansas City until week 18 you never had a chance. Just take it one week at a time. I split one 13 ways at MyBookie 3-4 years ago. The stress the last few weeks will kill you. I had to depend on Trey Lance to win a close game late in the season and also needed a close last week win against a bad Tennessee team that had nothing to play for. There is strategy if you make it to double digit wins, but its still one week at a time with fewer teams and matchups.
 

Archie

Archie

Joined
Nov 8, 2021
Messages
6,365
Saving teams until the end of the season is a crapshoot. If you saved Kansas City until week 18 you never had a chance. Just take it one week at a time. I split one 13 ways at MyBookie 3-4 years ago. The stress the last few weeks will kill you. I had to depend on Trey Lance to win a close game late in the season and also needed a close last week win against a bad Tennessee team that had nothing to play for. There is strategy if you make it to double digit wins, but its still one week at a time with fewer teams and matchups.

great point

try to to lose mentality is a novel winning idea
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
54,817
Week one I’m probably taking my best bet which is a home dog. I don’t play these contests too safe when I do play. Not a huge contest guy as far as playing them. Love to host & grade them though been doing that for the last 3 years with personal related contests. .
 
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