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Anyone notice how close these college games are to the number?

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homie1975

homie1975

Joined
Oct 6, 2022
Messages
1,322
hoops (college or nba) the "least difficult" lines to make historically.

unlike football where you can play keep away all day long if your D is incredible and you can cause turnovers,

in hoops it is alternating possessions with just 1, 2 or 3 point plays so with 80 possessions per team it is going to fall closer to the number than football.

baseball and hockey probably very tight lines also.

football games get way out of hand as dominance by one team or the other gets pronounced.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
14,967
I haven’t noticed anything different this year & I’ve bet nearly 200 games in college basketball, not sure what OP is talking about.

Yeah, he neglects to mention all the lines that are nowhere near the market.

lol

There's plenty of both.
 
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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
48,754
Yeah, he neglects to mention all the lines that are nowhere near the market.

lol

There's plenty of both.
Yeah, always very vague and small sample size with that guy. He doesn’t bet enough in that market to really make an accurate assessment in my opinion.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
14,967
This guy throws out irrelevant topics all the time like a paperboy route. I’m blame myself for taking him off ignore.

It's not all bad.

We've addressed a basic condition of some in the market here. They remember the close ones, especially if they were betting on it, and not the others.

Fazzer makes a good point about point and click and how that type of bettor is subject to this slanted view.

Not to mention, making the mistake of judging the "sharpness" of a line by how close it came to the final score.

That's a big mistake even veterans make.

It can be older news to us, Jerky, but there are many just starting out with a lot to learn.

Remember, I profile and take into consideration every level of bettor and while Gold is more sophisticated, sometimes it's the higher level or experiences bettors that are best suited to point these lower level errors, as many of us were once there.
 
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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
48,754
It's not all bad.

We've addressed a basic condition of some in the market here. They remember the close ones, especially if they were betting on it, and not the others.

Fazzer makes a good point about point and click and how that type of bettor is subject to this slanted view.

Not to mention, making the mistake of judging the "sharpness" of a line by how close it came to the final score.

That's a big mistake even veterans make.

It can be older news to us, Jerky, but there are many just starting out with a lot to learn.

Remember, I profile and take into consideration every level of bettor and while Gold is more sophisticated, sometimes it's the higher level or experiences bettors that are best suited to point these lower level errors, as many of us were once there.
Yeah that’s the problem if I have him on ignore I don’t see the thread at all & I can miss a learning moment by you & others who really have something worth teaching me.
 
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