7:10 ET Tonight - NY Mets/SF Giants

[Tanko]

Long write-up with no leans on these two very good teams. Just pointing out how evenly matched they are and I am wondering if someone sees it differently.

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We have a great matchup tonight. I anticipate seeing these teams in the NLCS in October.

Giants at Mets - Both teams playing exceptionally well to start the season. Neither team has lost more than 1 game in the 3 series they've each played so far.
. Mets series: WAS, PHI, ARI
. Giants series: MIA, SD, CLE

Starting pitchers are Cobb (Giants) vs Megill (Mets):
Two pitchers that are starting out great this season.
. Cobb in 1 outing this year: 5 IP, 2 runs, 2 BB, 10 K
. Megill in 2 outings: ~5 IP each gm, 0 runs, 0 BB, 5&6 K in those games.

Outscoring Opponents:
The Giants and Mets are 1st & 3rd in Runs scored/Runs Allowed at 2.15 and 2.04 respectively. Dodgers are 2nd at 2.13. And its not even close for the next tier of teams on this list (STL 1.48, CLE 1.29).

Batting:
The averages are even at 0.237 vs 0.234. OPS is also very close 0.733 vs 0.718.
I might give NYM a slight edge at the plate with a WRC+ 117 vs 105 for the Giants.

Relief pitching:
NYM: 3.01 xFIP, 4.06 ERA
SFG: 4.38 xFIP, 2.34 ERA

I've look at this game for an hour and these are two evenly matched teams IMO. I cannot see an edge for either team. The total is 6.5. I think the total is a tough play to make as well with the pitchers we have going. I believe the runs may come from the bull-pens (maybe).

This should be a great game.

Anyone have any leans? I've beaten this horse to death and can't find any.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Thanks much tank

 

[Bubbles]

great write up,. thanks tanko. i kinda like nym ml.

 

[BobbyFK]

Thank you for the information! Good luck

 

[Wagerallsports]

Should be a good game regardless

 

[biggins]

The FF total is 3 1/2 when l see that knee jerk reaction is over or pass.

 

[biggins]

Looks like to me the first 5 is the way to play this game.

 

[Tanko]

Biggins, that might be the best play.

What worries me is that Cobb and Megill have pitched 5-6 innings in their 3 combined starts and have allowed a total of 2 runs in those 3 games in those innings.

It is true that out of the 3 opponents these two pitchers faced, only the Phillies (Megill pitched against them on the 12th - 0 Runs in 5 IP) are a better batting team than either NYM or SFG.

The other teams they've pitched against: Padres (Cobb) and WAS (Megill) were not as great with the bats so maybe the good start this season for these two pitchers is a little squewed to look better. Its possible NYM and SFG bats may generate a little more offense on these starters but it may not.

Good luck on the play.

 

[biggins]

Giants-Mets PPD, set for doubleheader Tuesday afternoon​

— The New York Mets postponed their game against the San Francisco Giants scheduled for Monday night due to forecasted rain and rescheduled it as part of a doubleheader Tuesday.
23m AP

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