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3 MLB Plays I like today Apr 21st

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
53,296
Yesterday 3-1 +2.00.
5-3 +1.89 over 2 days


Seattle -129 vs Texas
I won with the Mariners yesterday and think they will continue their roll. They are on 3 game winning streak and Texas is on 5 game losing streak on the road.

Seattle has the edge on starting pitching. T. Hearn (TEX) has had a rough start his first two outings this year. He's given up 14 hits in 7 innings of work and is lucky to only have an ERA at 4.70. M. Gonzales (SEA) gathered himself during his last outing after starting the season very poorly. Seattle appears to have the edge in batting as well (WRC+ 120 vs 97 for TEX). Finally, Seattle's relief pitching provides the biggest advantage over the Rangers (2.78 ERA vs 4.84 for TEX. 3.01 xFIP vs 4.17 for TEX).


Oakland -120 vs Baltimore
I'm a little surprised this line is -120. I would have expected a bigger favorite on this one but OK I'll take the edge. Although Oakland lost yesterday 1-0, I think they will bounce back with Blackburn on the mound. They just have to get the bats going. Yesterday was the first time they were shutout this year. Blackburn (OAK) is much better than Wells (BAL) with 1.80 ERA vs 6.35. Oakland batting is a respectable 97 WRC+ vs 80 for the Orioles. The relief pitching comparison between thes teams is about a wash. The key is for Blackburn to perform as expected and Oakland to get the hits they should off of Wells.


NY Mets -131 vs Giants
Mets burned me yesterday but Rodon (SFG) had a good outing and his bullpen held on. The Mets have the edge in stating pitching with Carrasco (0.84 ERA, 2.56 xFIP) vs DeSciafani (4.32 ERA, 3.53 xFIP). Batting, as I've mentioned before, the Mets appear to be a much better hitting team than the Giants ( WRC+ 123 vs 96, OPS 0.739 vs 0.666, Avg 0.252 vs 0.220). They lost the game yesterday due to leaving 10 on base vs 5 for the Giants. They actually out hit the Giants yesterday 9 to 8. Relief pitching for these teams is about even.


Additonal tailing bet: MIN/KC Under 8
QuantumLeap posted this play today in his thread and is doing well. There are a couple of other posters who are also doing well that I've seen on other sites with the same play. There is a light wind 10 mph blowing in from right to left field. You also have two really good starting pitchers going today (Greike and Ryan). This is not my play but I'll be tailing.

Good luck.


 
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