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2nd half betting has the most value!

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hazliam

hazliam

Joined
Dec 16, 2021
Messages
667
Anyone else think this statement is true? The the 2nd half lines are posted, books have little time to figure out the correct line. This leads to mistakes and mistakes = value to us. It is also a period where massive amount of funds is placed and that can skew the lines. Another reason for mistakes is there are ton of lines that are posted together, at the same time. Look at college basketball. Around 8pm EST there can be 10-15 games all going into half time together.

When the sharp books post their lines, the recreation books will copy those lines. When the whales start pushing movement in the sharp books, it will leave the recreation book behind with slow moving lines since they don't see that type of sharp action. Sometimes you get 4-5 points in football and basketball worth of changes during a 15 min break. That is some massive fast moving value.
 

Enikk

Enikk

Joined
Oct 31, 2021
Messages
12,509
Really no reason to bet a match pre-game unless you are betting a fast starting team and think the value won't be there after whistle blows. You may say higher juice but not really. most books let you change the live spread to no or +juice and still have a better line than pre-match
 
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