10/31 Happy Halloween Edition & All Sports *CHAT & IN-GAME THREAD*

[sharpsquare]

Good Morning BMR!





A fairly short card today highlighted by Game 4 of the World Series.

Let's see if we can't squeeze out a winner or two here.

Best of luck today everyone!

 

[Wagerallsports]

Good day sharp

2 college football games tonight

 

[KVB]

Here we go again, again.

Some history...

https://forum.bookmakersreview.com/...t-old-man-scherzer-tonight.46655/#post-429493

https://forum.bookmakersreview.com/...man-scherzer-tonight.46655/page-2#post-429777

Today, for game 4, I have Arizona slightly favored to win the game 52.83% of the time to Texas' 47.17% win probablitly.

That's a vig free line of about -112/+112 with Zona, the home team, on the -112.

Zona opened early last night at even to plus money, from +100 at BOL and +102 at Pinny and even a generous +105 at BM/betCris.

I am not surprised the Zona dog money was bought up early moving the market, once again, towards my line with Zona now pushing -109 and -110 in those houses. Early, lower limit trading at BOL pushed Zona up to -112 before Texas found support bringing Zona back to -109 and -108 areas.

Pinny is currently dealing the same -104.83 no vig line as the close of yesterday's game only this time Zona is favored there, instead of Texas yesterday.

We saw value at plus money on Arizona eary when facing my no vig line but that value is now gone. I own some early trades with Zona at those levels, but none past +100.

Let's see what type of movement can be left in what's sure to be, like yesterday, a very tight market.

 

[carolinakid]

 

[Tanko]

Toledo over 49.5. This game should be a wipe-out with Toledo scoring easily.
Also, Toledo seems to allow too many points to really bad teams. They've done it 3X earlier in the season.

 

[Tanko]

Toledo over 49.5. This game should be a wipe-out with Toledo scoring easily.
Also, Toledo seems to allow too many points to really bad teams. They've done it 3X earlier in the season.

Alright... Great start. Toledo returns opening KO for TD.
12 seconds in 7 pts on the board.

 

[keithrichard]

Has anyone here been able to live bet the 25 free bet on the C Michigan/N Illinois game? This book is driving me nuts.

 

[KVB]

Has anyone here been able to live bet the 25 free bet on the C Michigan/N Illinois game? This book is driving me nuts.

Haven't tried any free bets, but watching this LIVE line closely.

Finally starting to see NIU edge into plus territory, now +105.

I have a Central Mich +205 to sell back...

this game seems like a good candidate for the strategy to pick up Central Mich on the moneyline at better than 2-1 and once they take the lead early, look to sell back into an equity situation.

Also sitting on the +6.5 in that game.

 

[keithrichard]

It's only 25 but damn I don't know if I even have bet in. It changed to 21 after I placed bet. This place has gone to
shit. Heritage I mean.

 

[jjgold]

Clips -6

 

[KVB]

That's a vig free line of about -112/+112 with Zona, the home team, on the -112.

Here are the closing lines on BMR odds and the no vig conversion like I posted yesterday, linked in the post above, but for tonight.

This was a another high volume game and Arizona became, then remained, the favorite so let's see how my -/+112 no vig line stacked up...

BM/betCRIS...-119/+109 = -/+113.57 no vig
BOL...-116/+106 = -/+110.63 no vig
BAS...-117/+107 = -/+111.61 no vig
Pinny...-119/+110 = -/+114.11 no vig

Like yesterday, the Pinny line served as a limit to the broader market. It's also worth noting that they moved to that limit just before game time, again.

I believe the first words I said in this thread were...

Here we go again, again.

I'm still happy with the World Series capping but I don't think I'm getting any of that early Arizona I bet tonight, lol.