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1/17 Friday: NBA + College Basketball + NHL Games *CHAT & IN-GAME THREAD*🗣️📢🏀🏒🏈

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BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
32,335
First CBB action is between Ohio Bobcats vs Akron Zips. Both teams are 4-0 in MAC.

The game is a matter of, who is going to take the lead.


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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
13,788
We're on the Fresno St moneyline, Charliebrown posted it too.

Beating the market here, but that hasn't been translating to the corresponding profit lately, across mulitple different markets and sports.

Let's see if our luck can turn.

Good Luck.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
13,788
A terrible card

UCLA trying to rebound. That game is attracting nearly the most attention with Indiana/Ohio St. right behind them in volume.

Ohio St a decent play but that line has moved. I'm not so convinced of UCLA. Looking at the moneyline there, there is a lot at stake and some value might be found. Need the value though.

UCLA -250 not a bad look at all. This game does not appear to be a candidate to buy the dog ml and then sell it back LIVE when they take the early lead. In fact, it could be UCLA leading only to fold down the stretch.

Now, when it comes to Villanova vs. Providence, you might be able to pull off that trade, picking up Providence better than +350 pre game. The issue is that even if Providence takes an early lead, we assess that it will be tough to find value and EV with Nova in game. This gives is a situation where we aren't looking to get both teams as dogs. Instead we just try to sell back the +350 by buying Nova at -349 or better.

We expect the volume on that Nova/Providence game to pick up and eventually get close to the Big 10 games.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
13,788
Now, when it comes to Villanova vs. Providence, you might be able to pull off that trade, picking up Providence better than +350 pre game. The issue is that even if Providence takes an early lead, we assess that it will be tough to find value and EV with Nova in game. This gives is a situation where we aren't looking to get both teams as dogs. Instead we just try to sell back the +350 by buying Nova at -349 or better.

This is sort of a past post as I didn't bold any plays earlier but I had pregame Providence +360 and I picked up Nova -125 LIVE to win more than the original unit as Providence took the lead and kept it.

Selling back before the first half was ideal.

I have just about an equal position in both with a slight position on Providence to win.

This trade worked.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
13,788
UCLA -250 not a bad look at all. This game does not appear to be a candidate to buy the dog ml and then sell it back LIVE when they take the early lead. In fact, it could be UCLA leading only to fold down the stretch.

UCLA with the fast start, Iowa with the slow start. UCLA up 26-9 early.
 
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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
13,788
Ohio St a decent play but that line has moved. I'm not so convinced of UCLA.

While I do own UCLA -240, this part of my post did not age well. Ohio St struggling late against Indiana and UCLA is up 57-24 at half over Iowa.

Iowa, by the way, averages 89 points per game, a tie for #1 with Alabama, so UCLA hasn't won this game yet, but it looks pretty good.
 
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