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Slugger of the Day 2025

lekidecincinnati

lekidecincinnati

Joined
Oct 26, 2021
Messages
7,430
maybe my math is off but i'm seeing

8 possible picks for this mlb divison round
10 possible picks for championship round
7 possible picks for world series

if everything goes max games

jay needs 21 picks out of a possible 25 max games left better hope no sweeps in alcs or world series or could get interesting
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
57,208
maybe my math is off but i'm seeing

8 possible picks for this mlb divison round
10 possible picks for championship round
7 possible picks for world series

if everything goes max games

jay needs 21 picks out of a possible 25 max games left better hope no sweeps in alcs or world series or could get interesting
Yep.
Of the 8 possible Division games, 5 days are guaranteed due to the stagger in games.
Of the 10 possible Champsions games, 6 are guaranteed.
Of the 7 WS, 4 guaranteed.

So there are 15 guranteed games left with a potential max of 25.
It's gonna be close.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
57,208
Some interesting information on MLB Playoffs....
  • Avg projected HRs for the top 30 players in remainder of the playoffs = 0.2
  • The highest projection is 0.6 HRs for the rest of the post-season for just two elite players.
  • Avg odds for top 30 players ~+470 (will vary with pitching matchups, weather, etc...).
    Thats ~17% probability. For the elite players the odds are ~250 (28% probabilty).
Assuming the 17% to 28% probability and 20 days of games left to be played, the best you can expect to do is breakeven and most likely lose a couple units.


Of course someone may get lucky and find the needle in the haystack.
 
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