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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
16,977
Still in a smaller allocation here while we assess where the money is flowing. We are up pretty big so far.

I opened a trade with Maryland +275 over Florida.
I added Maryland +480 to this position.

That is two strikes with an average of Maryland +377.5 odds.

These LIVE trades died. There was some opportunity to trade back early, but I didn't bite.

I have picked up Duke -9 (-106, -108, -109 and -113) over Zona to fill the position. This is a larger position as well. It is my opinion that the market has sold Arizona today and I am countering the late move form 9.5 to 9. We have won with Duke twice already with the larger positions, let's dip in again.

We are rooting for Duke. If we get got, we get got.

popcorn_gus.gif
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
16,977
Welp, Duke flexed early in the second half, with one more 2nd half bet still on the board, and Arky came out strong.

That's a little too perfect given today's moneyflow parlay looks correct.

Something is sure to spoil us here. I thought the spoiler might be Arizona, so we went with Duke.

:+anxious-
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
16,977
Might give back a couple of units today. Hopefully Arky can still cover the 5.5.

Still up double digit units from the last rounds, but if Arky loses by 6 our better than 30% yield for the madness will dropped below 30%.

A small retraction.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
16,977
I have opened a position with Ole Miss +155 vs Michigan State

There is plenty here to close out this trade and if Mich St just opens up a lead and never looks back, then so be it. But I don't think itplays out that way from a money perspective, and either way we get information on moneyflow.

Yesterday I opened a couple of pregame and one LIVE underdog moneyline with intents to close and I closed neither, even though there was opportunity.

Both of those games lost.

Kentucky +4.5 is also in the cards here, if I read the first game correctly, but I have not bought any Kentucky.
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
40,778
I have opened a position with Ole Miss +155 vs Michigan State

There is plenty here to close out this trade and if Mich St just opens up a lead and never looks back, then so be it. But I don't think itplays out that way from a money perspective, and either way we get information on moneyflow.

Yesterday I opened a couple of pregame and one LIVE underdog moneyline with intents to close and I closed neither, even though there was opportunity.

Both of those games lost.

Kentucky +4.5 is also in the cards here, if I read the first game correctly, but I have not bought any Kentucky.
Good luck today, KVB.
 
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RRsilver

RRsilver

Joined
Nov 2, 2021
Messages
6,171
I have opened a position with Ole Miss +155 vs Michigan State

There is plenty here to close out this trade and if Mich St just opens up a lead and never looks back, then so be it. But I don't think itplays out that way from a money perspective, and either way we get information on moneyflow.

Yesterday I opened a couple of pregame and one LIVE underdog moneyline with intents to close and I closed neither, even though there was opportunity.

Both of those games lost.

Kentucky +4.5 is also in the cards here, if I read the first game correctly, but I have not bought any Kentucky.
GL KVB.
 
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