Sunday CBB Leans - KU/Miami & NC/St Petes

[Tanko]

Couple of leans on today's games.

1. I like the KU 1H ML. Its a little juicy but KU has not lost a 1H ML in 13 games. They seem to start games well.
2. If KU O/U line continues to drop a little more, I'm looking at the Over. Today's total is Down to 145 after opening near 146.5. So I'm going against the line move.
   
   In the last 4 games that KU has played a team with similar tempo (67+) and a good Off Effic (106+) as Miami, the totals were: 151, 150, 150, 129. The 129 game was vs W.Virg and the Mountaineers did not score well in that game. I think Miami will be scoring with an Off Effic of 114.8.
   
   Miami in their last four games with opponents similar to KU (tempo 67+, Off Effic 106+) the totals were: 140, 156, 147, 148. The 140 game was against Auburn which is a little bit of a concern since it was the most recent of these games and KU Def Effic is on par with Auburns.
   
   
3. NC at -8 looks enticing. Can the Peacocks keep it close.

 

[carolinakid]

bol today with all your action sir

 

[Tanko]

Thanks CK. Hope you have some Tourny plays today that you like.

 

[carolinakid]

looking hard at the under at this time of 68 in the miami game for the 1st half

 

[JDS]

This & that.

 

[Tanko]

This.

GL on the St Petes play BTJ. Can they do it again?

Miami might be able to beat KU today. The Jayhawks usually stumble at some point in the tourny. This could be the game.

 

[carolinakid]

imo if you take st peters, play them for the 1st half only, i think the size and talent for carolina will win out in the end, and dont forget carolina is one of the best foul shooting team in the country, if unc is up late expects more pts to be added with foul shots coming

 

[carolinakid]

i just got this one

Steam-Play Alert

03/27/22 09:29:53am Pacific Time

College Basketball: Game 643 (ORN# 1) St. Peter's/North Carolina - UNDER 139

 

[JDS]

GL on the St Petes play BTJ. Can they do it again?

Miami might be able to beat KU today. The Jayhawks usually stumble at some point in the tourny. This could be the game.

Thank you pal, gonna need all the luck & all the bounces to cash this long one.

 

[Tanko]

looking hard at the under at this time of 68 in the miami game for the 1st half

I'm seeing the first half line move up. 69.5.

 

[carolinakid]

down to 67 flat now

 

[Tanko]

down to 67 flat now

Wow. It did drop. I just saw 69.5 at BOL not 15 min ago.
You must have dropped several dimes on the under CK to get it to drop 2.5 pts in 15 min.

 

[carolinakid]

i went with the full game under, imo if no ot this will go under easy

 

[Tanko]

i went with the full game under, imo if no ot this will go under easy

Good luck.

 

[carolinakid]

thank bol with all you sunday action................

 

[Tanko]

Well looks like that 1H KU ML bet was a disaster. I've got to say Miami is consistently playing very good ball. Auburn and USC games were no fluke.

 

[Enikk]

This & that.

Damn, if only 1st half. Of course payout be a tad less but that svcks. Sorry man.

 

[Tanko]

Sorry you lost that parlay BTJ. Would have been nice payout.

 

[JDS]

Damn, if only 1st half. Of course payout be a tad less but that svcks. Sorry man.

Sorry you lost that parlay BTJ. Would have been nice payout.

It’s all good it was the wrong side both ML & PS. I don’t make excuses for myself. On to the next play this was a .21 unit play (small).

 

[Enikk]

Get the next one bud. You should of went to the tennis matches man. Think about your future and what a nice gig that would be. Could be front row of any of those matches.