Skip to content

All in Sinner $100 Credit bet

flyingillini

flyingillini

Joined
Jul 25, 2022
Messages
23,603
I originally bet 1 unit to win 96 units but hedged 10 units on Sinner to win 3.4 units. I just did that mostly as a test to see if I could get the money down.

I was thinking about betting 23 more units on Sinner to profit a total of 10 units if he wins. That would leave me 63 units of a win if Zev pulls it out.
I will be watching it at the sportsbook at Naga World!
 
  • Love
Reactions: KVB

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
17,067
I just used your variance calculator that you sent me on Telegram, the upgraded version not the old version @DiggityDaggityDo aka the new Dad "tries" to use, but with his 5th grade math brain doesn't understand how to apply "fair value" numbers to the number. I am getting Sinner -249, Zverev +221. I expect more from you, considering you graced me with the upgraded version. Don't be lazy your peers expect more out of you.

Problem is, I sent you the only the copy of the updated calculator.

I now have to stoop to @DiggityDaggityDo level analysis and 5th grade level.

It's depressing.
 

DiggityDaggityDo

DiggityDaggityDo

Joined
Oct 30, 2021
Messages
35,666
I just used your variance calculator that you sent me on Telegram, the upgraded version not the old version @DiggityDaggityDo aka the new Dad "tries" to use, but with his 5th grade math brain doesn't understand how to apply "fair value" numbers to the number. I am getting Sinner -249, Zverev +221. I expect more from you, considering you graced me with the upgraded version. Don't be lazy your peers expect more out of you.
Reported
 

flyingillini

flyingillini

Joined
Jul 25, 2022
Messages
23,603
Problem is, I sent you the only the copy of the updated calculator.

I now have to stoop to @DiggityDaggityDo level analysis and 5th grade level.

It's depressing.
Yes, it has been confirmed that @DiggityDaggityDo and @Tanko both rode the short yellow bus to school and were both put in special ed math. Even though they are both successful in life, great men, great posters, great humanitarians, great love makers, they lack the basic understanding of true value in lines, getting the best #, the edge, variance, they just are point and click bettors , but often do well. God Bless you all.
special-short.gif
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
17,067
Line fairly stable, maybe a little pressure on the favorite but I think there was some oscillation. Can be hard to draw much from the market outside of what I said earlier and that is somewhat mitigated by the later movement.

Good Luck @charliebrown this one could come down to not whether or not Sinner will win the match, but whether or not he'll lay the lumber and win by -1.5 sets.

It will probably go OVER 3.5 sets, so have to consider that too. But I think this is about the -1.5 spread, not the moneyline. That opinion is good news for your bet, but it's just an opinion.

:drinks:
 
Last edited:

charliebrown

charliebrown

Joined
Jan 27, 2024
Messages
3,435
Now just need eagles

Parlay (4 Picks)3 of 4 settled
Jan 25 • 2025
Ticket ID: 8626147106
Moneyline: CaliforniaMiami (FL) @ California
Moneyline: (1) Auburn(6) Tennessee @ (1) Auburn
Moneyline: Sinner, JannikSinner, Jannik - Zverev, Alexander
Moneyline: PHI EaglesWAS Commanders @ PHI Eagles
Odds: +175
Wager: $100.00
Pot. Payout: $275.45
 
  • Love
Reactions: KVB

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
55,275
Yes, it has been confirmed that @DiggityDaggityDo and @Tanko both rode the short yellow bus to school and were both put in special ed math. Even though they are both successful in life, great men, great posters, great humanitarians, great love makers, they lack the basic understanding of true value in lines, getting the best #, the edge, variance, they just are point and click bettors , but often do well. God Bless you all.
View attachment 52254
WTH? I told you that in confidence Fly.
Now people will pick on me here like they did on the short yellow bus when I was a kid. :banghead:
 

quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
4,399
Now just need eagles

Parlay (4 Picks)3 of 4 settled
Jan 25 • 2025
Ticket ID: 8626147106
Moneyline: CaliforniaMiami (FL) @ California
Moneyline: (1) Auburn(6) Tennessee @ (1) Auburn
Moneyline: Sinner, JannikSinner, Jannik - Zverev, Alexander
Moneyline: PHI EaglesWAS Commanders @ PHI Eagles
Odds: +175
Wager: $100.00
Pot. Payout: $275.45
Are you going to hedge, Chuck?
 
Top