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#5 Georgia @ #1 Texas: College Football Game Of The Year Saturday *PRE-GAME/IN-GAME ACTION 🏈

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Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

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Favorite flips in Texas-Georgia college football showdown​

LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

Georgia was a 3-point favorite over Texas throughout the summer for Saturday’s marquee college football matchup.

But the favorite has flipped to the No. 1 Longhorns, who are now 3½-point home favorites over the No. 5 Bulldogs in the SEC showdown at Austin, Texas.

“This game is very important to the Bulldogs at this point, as they already have one SEC loss on the books to Alabama,” Caesars Sportsbook head of football Joey Feazel said. “If the Longhorns win, they will very clearly separate themselves from the field and be the clear favorites (to win the national title).

"If Georgia wins this game, we will see very close odds among the top of the field, as we are seeing today.”

Texas, which whipped Oklahoma 34-3 on Saturday to improve to 6-0 (5-1 ATS), is the 4-1 favorite to win the College Football Playoff national championship game.

Georgia, Ohio State and Oregon — which beat the Buckeyes 32-31 on Saturday — are tied as the +450 second choice to win the title.

“The new (12-team) College Football Playoff format is playing a big part in how we are pricing this market, as there isn’t the same drop-off that we have seen in the past,” Feazel said. “It is shaping up to be a wild College Football Playoff.”

In another matchup of CFP contenders Saturday, No. 7 Alabama is a 3-point favorite over No. 11 Tennessee. The Crimson Tide are the 8-1 fifth favorite at the Westgate SuperBook to win the national title, followed by Penn State at 12-1 and Tennessee, Clemson and Miami (Florida) at 20-1.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

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Georgia at Texas (-4½, 57½): The Bulldogs haven’t been underdogs since the 2021 opener when they upset Clemson, but they’re on an 0-5 ATS skid. The Longhorns are on a 15-7-1 ATS run. Edge: Slight to Texas.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

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Mar 6, 2018
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64,759

Georgia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals​

  • Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.80 Units / 10% ROI)

Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals​

  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+12.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)

Best Georgia Player Prop Bets Today​

  • Arian Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Dominic Lovett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Carson Beck has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Carson Beck has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Trevor Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today​

  • Gunnar Helm has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Isaiah Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jaydon Blue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
64,759

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Texas​


Georgia is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .438

Georgia is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .491

Georgia is undefeated (13-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .601

Georgia is undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .623


Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia​


Texas is undefeated (13-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .598

Texas is undefeated (11-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .668

Texas is undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .623

Texas is undefeated (15-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .730


Matchup Notes for Georgia vs. Texas​


Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 192 attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts this season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas’s offense has averaged 3.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-5th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 0.8 passing TDs per game this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s offense has thrown for 1,908 passing yards in 6 games (318.0 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense has allowed just 126.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 221 attempts this season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s offense has averaged 2.5 passing TDs per game this season — T-15th-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense has allowed just 0.2 passing TDs per game this season — best among FBS defenses.
 
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