Hedge or no hedge? Nuggets +530 to win their series against the Wolves

[stormtrooper8]

Holding a +530 bet that I feel pretty confident is going to cash

But now Minnesota pushing close to +400

I do like a nice fat hedge now and then, and this feels like a decent opportunity


What do you think?

 

[Archie]

let it ride

~Archie Archaimbault Double MMBBAA

 

[stormtrooper8]

let it ride

~Archie Archaimbault Double MMBBAA

Kinda what I'm thinking

 

[edawg]

Games 6&7 are like the late boxing championship rounds. When the champ takes some shots early but then gets the timing down and starts coming on late you best not bet against him.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Riding it out

 

[Archie]

get em

 

[Wagerallsports]

Got it when they were down 2-0?

 

[KingKolzig]

Honestly I'd hedge. NBA gave Denver game 4. Was obvious

Usually they even things up. Game 7 on deck

 

[stormtrooper8]

Honestly I'd hedge. NBA gave Denver game 4. Was obvious

Usually they even things up. Game 7 on deck

How'd they give Denver Game 4? lol

 

[Wagerallsports]

In many cases I’d be in favor of hedging, but not this time

Denver has absolutey put their game faces on and focused now

 

[lekidecincinnati]

if u can bet both sides at +530 and +400 ur winning every single time

 

[JDS]

Did you post this bet when you made it ?

 

[jjgold]

You’ll never be a winner when you hedge

It’s a scared gambler that’s underfunded

 

[JDS]

You’ll never be a winner when you hedge

It’s a scared gambler that’s underfunded

Imagine if I hedged like a bitch on my last leg. I essentially had 45K on the line when I filled in my 10th team, what a rush let me tell you. Luckily the game won in blowout fashion sweat free lol.

 

[Ace7550]

Sometimes hedging makes sense and sometimes it doesn't. In this case with a +530 and a +400 it probably makes sense because you aren't giving much up.
If you bet $1000 on the +530 to win $5300, You could bet about $1300 on the wolves to turn it into a freeroll. So $4000 guaranteed or let it ride for $5300.
It's actually a close call. At +300 I wouldn't hedge.

 

[JDS]

Sometimes hedging makes sense and sometimes it doesn't. In this case with a +530 and a +400 it probably makes sense because you aren't giving much up.
If you bet $1000 on the +530 to win $5300, You could bet about $1300 on the wolves to turn it into a freeroll. So $4000 guaranteed or let it ride for $5300.
It's actually a close call. At +300 I wouldn't hedge.

See you and Stormy have a bankroll
already, and could see y’all being more conservative in this spot. Before my parlay win my bankroll was only 30K. I was what you call it “on a come up”.

 

[Ace7550]

See you and Stormy have a bankroll
already, and could see y’all being more conservative in this spot. Before my parlay win my bankroll was only 30K. I was what you call it “on a come up”.

Yours made more sense to let it ride. I usually only hedge when I'm on a big dog and the other side has become a big dog. I've been screwed by comebacks too many times

 

[jjgold]

Professional gamblers don’t hedge anybody else you laughed at totally bad math

 

[Ace7550]

Professional gamblers don’t hedge anybody else you laughed at totally bad math

This might help you:

Hedging is a great way to create freerolls or half/full middles for yourself. I certainly don't do it a lot, but there are times when it makes sense.

 

[KingKolzig]

How'd they give Denver Game 4? lol

Minny had less turnovers and over 10 more rebs. So how does a team lose like that?

They got called for more fouls. Many of which were suspect. Plus many no calls that you have to see as a non biased guy to judge without emotion