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Colorado +12 +101

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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,743
I haven't bet this yet the market seems to be stretching this number out by the hour. I think this team is underrated and sneaky good. They are not currently ranked in the top 25, but both KenPom & StatFox power ratings have them inside that number. The Buffs have a sharpshooter K.J. Simpson (21.1ppg) might be the best player on the court even better than Tar Heel transfer Caleb Love (17.4ppg). K.J. Simpson is shooting an absurd 56.% FG 87% FT & 47% 3PT this season.

The Wildcats are coming off their worst loss of the season and have lost 2 of 3 games, I don't feel like this is the correct team to bounce back from at home as the market seems to think. I will wait to bet this until about an hour before tip off hoping to get another point & then sell back a half point for another even money bet or low juice. The Buffs have won 6 straight and I feel like this one will be a tight one throughout so I'll gladly accept more than 10 points on the spread, as I feel like this line should be at +9.5 -110.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
53,477
I'd agree the money seems to be pouring in on Arizona. I think this is overcompensating for the anticipated "bounce back" from the Stanford loss.

I'm seeing +12.5 for the Buffs. This seems a little to large.
I like this one too.

I'm probably jumping in sooner though. Some sharps have to see this and think through the same process we've considered and the line might stop rising.

GL JDS.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,743
Both BMR & Sportsline model agree with my analysis.
IMG_1860.jpegIMG_1861.jpeg
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,743
I'd agree the money seems to be pouring in on Arizona. I think this is overcompensating for the anticipated "bounce back" from the Stanford loss.

I'm seeing +12.5 for the Buffs. This seems a little to large.
I like this one too.

I'm probably jumping in sooner though. Some sharps have to see this and think through the same process we've considered and the line might stop rising.

GL JDS.
Yeah this might be the high point for this number, I'm gonna jump in now as well f*** it Tanko. I'm content with +12 +101 myself.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,743
IMG_1862.jpeg
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,743
This is a BMR best bet.

1/4
JDS 127-96-0 +43.26 Units
NCAAB Colorado +12 +101
Justbet
 

carolinakid

carolinakid

Joined
Oct 20, 2021
Messages
39,046
i just got the update

Arizona Injuries
Colorado Injuries
Updated Pos Player Injury Status
Players listed as OUT
01/04 F Tristan Da Silva Ankle OUT
05:55pm is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Arizona
12/30 G RJ Smith Leg OUT
03:39am is out for season
12/12 F Cody Williams Wrist OUT
11:47am is out indefinitely
Updated Pos Player Injury Status
Players listed as OUT
11/08 F Dylan Anderson Redshirt OUT
01:02am is out for season
11/06 F Henri Veesaae Elbow OUT
01:23pm is out indefinitely
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,743
Well that sucks he’s a starter I was relying on to play 👎
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,743
Hopefully Senior forward Luke O’Brien for Colorado steps up tonight in place of Tristin Da Silva.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,743
This game looks like a piece of shit early on here lol.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,743
Gonna call this a loss early & hit the sack, sorry for the ones who tailed.
 
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