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Miami -123

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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,653
So I’m fading Pittsburgh again today, although I do believe their long losing streak will end at some point in this 4 game series. At 1st glance you might think Keller & the Pirates have the pitching advantage, but I think otherwise.

Garrett for Miami I know has a high ERA at home 6.40, but that is because he gave up 11 runs to Atlanta May 3rd. His last 3 home games he has pitched to a respectable 3.48 ERA & they won all 3.

Keller in his last 3 games on the road his ERA is 7.41 & then you add 6 straight losses on the road for the Pirates along with getting this game relatively low juice. I’m going to the betting window every time in this scenario.

Take the Marlins -123 & good luck if you tail 🍀.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,653
This is a BMR best bet.

6/22
1. JDS 81-63-0 +25.84 Units
MLB Miami -123
WagerWeb

This is a model I respect & follow that shows a slight edge.

C1BE6768-70DF-449B-940D-C71C020175FD.jpeg
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,653

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,653
Pirates are reeling

Not sure even Keller can stop it

GL today
Keller has buried me before fading him this year, so I won’t be surprised if he throws out his best stuff today.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,653
Whoa this line is -155 at WagerWeb now I got a fantastic price overnight.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,653
Win or lose I’m happy about saving 30 cents per dollar with this wager.
 
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